So, it appears that conventional wisdom by the Mets is to land one of the two- Lowe or Perez. In fact, the Mets are negotiating with Lowe right now.
These two guys basically cancel themselves out in terms of hits per inning and potential salaries, and Perez certainly has an upside in terms of being younger. That being said, for a 2-3 year deal, I would place my money on Lowe for a few reasons. First, Lowe is steady, consistently pitching 200 innings. In this sense, he is much more reliable over the course of a 162 game season, while the same can’t be said for Ollie. Second, I’ll take a ground ball pitcher, like Lowe, over a fly ball pitcher any day of the week. Ground balls turn into double plays more frequently than fly balls. Third, while Perez may be absolutely brilliant at times, ala El Sid, you never know when it is all going to fall apart. His games are much tougher to watch like Leiter during his last season plus – 3-2 count after 3-2 count (after being ahead 0-2). Lowe is a big game pitcher that has put it all together, while Perez is too much of a gamble. Finally, I would love to see the impact that Lowe could have on Pelfrey and Maine. The Mets could use another lefty starter for Utley, Howard, Ibanez, but smart money is on Lowe.
posted by Gene Anthony